That needs to be solved from the tip because the last thing you want in a big game is for the Heat role players to gain confidence. They are confused about their switches which allow constant open looks from three good shooters. The double-screen that Miami runs for Vincent and Strus (or Duncan at times) has given Boston fits. Boston is +20 as far as points in the paint go, and their constant attack only opens up for more open threes.ĭefensively it has been better from Boston, but Miami is still getting too many open looks. Miami has no interior depth and relies a lot on Bam for rim protection. Miami is averaging 17.3 points off turnovers this season, and it helps them not have to go against a set Boston defense which is pretty damn good. The turnovers must be limited for Boston to win this game. Per NBA.com, Boston, in crunch time of this series, is shooting 2/15 (0-8 from 3), while Miami is scoring 1.3 points per possession in the clutch. If they can keep it close, Boston is notorious for not performing well in the clutch, while Miami thrives late in games. So the uglier this game is, the better it is for the Heat. They have dominated points off turnovers in the playoffs, which directly represents their offense knowing when to run. Although Miami is better suited to slow the game down, they should look to run-off turnovers. In addition, I think that we see a lot more zone from Miami, which gave Boston problems in the first three games (37.9 effective field goal%) and hindered them late in Game 6. Slowing the pace down will serve Miami well, as their rotation is extremely tight. They are also 6-0 in the postseason when Bam scores 20 or more points. There should be a big emphasis on getting Bam going offensively because it loosens the Boston defense when his 15 to 17-foot jumper is falling. I do not doubt that both guys bounce back in Game 7, but what will win them the game is their role players. The obvious reason why Miami will win is that Jimmy and Bam don’t combine to shoot 9/39, and the overall defensive effort is better. Miami has won games in numerous ways, one of which is when the shots are not falling. Can they continue to shoot this well? It is highly unlikely, but that is not their only path to victory. In the postseason, Miami has shot 46% or higher four times, and three of those have been in this series. Celtics: Game 7 Betting Preview Why Miami Will Win? Can Boston be the first team ever to come back from down 0-3? Or will Miami continue its brilliance while being the second 8-seed to make the NBA Finals? Let’s break it down and see if we can get on the right side of this one. This mini rivalry has lived up to the hype over the years, and with history on the line on both sides, we are in for an incredible Game 7. That game came down to a Butler three-point attempt, but the narratives are completely different in 2023. On this day last year, Boston defeated Miami (100-96) in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals. On the other side, the Heat have one of the best coaches in history, with one of the more fearless and successful playoff players in Heat history. For that, I and the entire SGPN family are thankful.Īn unconventional way to get to Game 7, but we are here! This series has been a roller coaster for both sides and entertaining, to say the least. Without your sacrifice and dedication, none of us will be in a position to do what we love to do. Happy Memorial Day! Huge thank you to all who serve or have served and put their life on the line for this country.
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